MANIFOLD
Will Viktor Orban remain Hungary's prime minister after the 2026 elections?
138
Ṁ1.1kṀ20k
Apr 1
33%
chance
3
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Will Orban flee to Russia after losing the elections?

Government popularity is sliding. Elections in 11 months. Biggest risk is a free and clean election.

bought Ṁ150 NO

Orbán is now an underdog at all major pollsters.

@Mullet4MyV wow

Opposition is leading 46 - 37. Be advised, gerrymandering is already going strong, but might get even stronger.

bought Ṁ40 NO

Current polls have him tied with leading opposition, I still believe he's more likely to win but not 70% likely, so I'm buying some NO.

53% of all Hungarians want change of government:

https://telex.hu/belfold/2024/07/18/median-fidesz-tisza-part-12-szazalek-kulonbseg

Orban landslided the country i doubt there will be another chance unless gyurcsany comes back

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In the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary Election, who will be running for prime minister?
Will Orbán Viktor's party win a supermajority of seats in the 2026 parliamentary election?
7% chance
Will TISZA party win the 2026 Hungarian elections and get 50%+1 member of the parliment and gain voting majority?
+4% 1d63% chance
Will Peter Magyar be arrested before the 2026 elections in Hungary?
5% chance
Will Victor Orban run for president position by 2030?
25% chance
When will Viktor Orbán's rule end?
Will Benjamin Netanyahu still be Prime Minister at the end of 2026?
75% chance
UK has new prime minister in 2026?
67% chance
Will Vladimir Putin be President of Russia at the end of 2026?
91% chance
Will Hungary still be a voting member of the EU European Commission in 2035?
44% chance
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