MANIFOLD
How many people will die as a part of the 2025-26 Iranian protests before March 20th (up to 100k)?
19
Ṁ300Ṁ3.5k
Mar 20
62,450 deaths
expected
5%
Below 10,000
7%
10,000 - 19,999
5%
20,000 - 29,999
12%
30,000 - 39,999
12%
40,000 - 49,999
14%
50,000 - 59,999
9%
60,000 - 69,999
7%
70,000 - 79,999
9%
80,000 - 89,999
10%
90,000 - 100,000
9%
Above 100,000

Resolution criteria

It is certainly not cheerful to be continuously recreating this market with higher and higher buckets.

Resolves by the same standards as this market but with different buckets.

Market context
Middle East
Iran
Politics
World
Death
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
Sort by:
bought Ṁ5 YES

https://humanrightsintl.com/2026/01/20/latest-human-rights-report-43000-killed-in-the-crackdown-on-protests-in-iran-for-immediate-release/

People are also trading

Will Iran kill atleast 5 more American soldiers by end March
+13% 1d63% chance
Will the regime of Iran fall by the end of March 2026?
8% chance
Will the Iranian regime be overthrown?
-4% 1d39% chance
How many people will die as a part of the 2025-26 Iranian protests before March 20th (up to 5k)?
5,427
How many people will die as a part of the 2025-26 Iranian protests before March 20th (up to 10k)?
14,339
How many confirmed deaths will be attributed to the 2026 Iran war as of March 31, 2026?
14,506
Death toll of Iranian regime killings Jan. 8 and 9, 2026?
14,964
How many Iranians will be killed by it's regime in 2026?
36,091
Will the current wave of Iranian protests be suppressed by the end of 2026?
80% chance
When will the Iranian protests end?
7/17/26
© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms•Privacy