MANIFOLD
Will Magnus Carlsen be dethroned from his #1 spot in FIDE rating before GTA 6 is released?
16
Ṁ1kṀ3.9k
Nov 1
6%
chance

Not live ratings.

Market context
Gaming
Chess
Board Games
Magnus Carlsen
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
Sort by:
bought Ṁ1,000 NO

GTA 6 could come out in a decade and this would still be basically guaranteed to resolve no

opened a Ṁ800 NO at 7% order

@Qoiuoiuoiu of course not

People are also trading

Will Magnus Carlsen be the highest FIDE rating chess player at the end of 2026?
89% chance
Will Magnus Carlsen, the world chess #1 since 2011, be ranked #1 in 2029.1.1?
24% chance
Will Magnus Carlsen be the highest FIDE rating chess player at the end of 2027?
66% chance
Will Magnus Carlsen have the highest ELO in the world in mid 2026?
96% chance
Will Magnus Carlsen be the highest FIDE rating chess player at the end of 2029?
41% chance
Will Magnus Carlsen be the highest FIDE rating chess player at the end of 2028?
49% chance
What year will someone surpass Magnus Carlsen on the list of Top Rated FIDE players?
Will Magnus Carlsen become the FIDE World Chess Champion again by 2031?
9% chance
Who will be the highest-rated chess player at the end of 2026?
Will anyone top Magnus Carlsen's peak ELO of 2882 by the end of 2026?
8% chance
© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms•Privacy