MANIFOLD
Will the next Scottish independence referendum pass?
38
Ṁ1kṀ2.3k
2029
53%
chance

This market will stay open until it resolves. Resolves YES if a referendum passes, NO if it fails, N/A if a referendum becomes irrelevant.

Market context
UK Politics
Scotland
Scottish independence
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Almost arbitragable (resolves N/A if none by 2050):

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