MANIFOLD
Graham Platner to win Primary and General for 2026 US Senate in Maine?
13
Ṁ1.1kṀ858
Nov 3
64%
chance

Resolves Yes if graham platner wins the Maine Dem Senate primary and the Maine Senate election.

Market context
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
Sort by:

@SemioticRivalry want to trade?

opened a Ṁ250 YES at 42% order

@traders orderup

bought Ṁ50 NO

Would be disaster

How come this didn't start at 50%?

@AlanTennant I took 0.64 platner nom odds x 0.65 Dem win Maine odds

@AlanTennant just reading this again. Maybe you’re asking about how that works on manifold?

When you create a yes/no question you can set the starting probability between 5 and 95%. This way the liquidity is used better and you don’t have to use your mana to set up the market to the correct %. Theres a edit button next to the 50% chance on the create a question page.

© Manifold Markets, Inc.TermsPrivacy