MANIFOLD
Where will Waymo be available in 2026?
24
Ṁ4.4kṀ8.9k
Dec 31
82%
San Diego
82%
London
69%
Nashville
68%
Las Vegas
67%
Washington, D.C.
60%
Tokyo, Japan
49%
Detroit
49%
Seattle
46%
Sausalito
45%
Berkeley
42%
Oakland CA
31%
Anywhere in Canada
20%
Boston
10%
New York City
Resolved
YES
Miami
Resolved
YES
Dallas
Resolved
YES
Houston
Resolved
YES
San Antonio
Resolved
YES
Orlando

Details

  • If the Waymo service area overlaps with the city limits at all, that's good enough.

  • If only a minority of people have access, it will resolved based on whether any of them got this access by luck or signing up early, rather than by being Waymo employees, journalists, or famous.

  • If the cars arrive with Waymo employees in them, or even in the driver seats, the answer resolves Yes if i can find any credible evidence of 1 trip where it's plausible the car was doing more than half of the driving work. If it's hard to find evidence of any such trips, it'll resolve No.

  • When Waymo launches somewhere, that answer will resolve Yes. If they suspend service etc, it will still stay a Yes.

  • I might well bet on this question.

    Similar question where the deadline is 6 months sooner: https://manifold.markets/BoltonBailey/which-cities-will-have-waymo-one-se

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I will likely resolve Miami Yes. Just will need to confirm the waitlist isn't 100% influencers or something...

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