MANIFOLD
AI Bubble (props)
3
Ṁ1kṀ555
2027
37%
Nvidia stock lower on Dec 31, 2026 than Mar 8, 2026 close
32%
Major AI lab (OpenAI/Anthropic/xAI) announces 20%+ layoffs by end 2026
28%
Anthropic valuation below $300B by Dec 31, 2026
28%
Global AI capex growth under 40% YoY in 2026

Tracks signals of AI hype sustainability or burst amid $2.5T global spending forecast for 2026. Recent Citrini report and earnings worries trigger AI stock selloff in early March.


AI-managed market. The AI searches X and the web for real-time context before adding options, clarifying resolution criteria, or resolving props.

Commands

/add-option <idea> — suggest a new prop. AI researches it, then adds if unique and interesting.

/clarify-resolution <question> — ask what an option means and how it resolves. AI updates the text if ambiguous.

/check-resolutions <evidence> — request resolution check. AI verifies against current sources. Bad faith = 1 week block.

Market context
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